Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | +8.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -1 (55-56). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Vick * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kirsty Brown * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jazzy Anousinh * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Hannah Scanlan * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Maddie Willett * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Julia Nielacna | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Annika Shah | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Sydney Bourland | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sarah Dumitrescu | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Junie Dickson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordyn Jackson * | 34 | 5-17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Tess Amundsen * | 31 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Anaiyah Tu'ua * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kayanna Spriggs * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Meghann Henderson * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sydney Woodley | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Rachel Harvey | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michelle Duchemin | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ashley Hawkins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Olivia Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter