Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | โ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | โ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | โ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Tillman | 40 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 3 | - |
| S. Menke | 39 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| J. Carrasco | 34 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Rios | 32 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Isnelle Natabou | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Falkowska | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Olivares | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Barry | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stinson | 38 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Redmond | 35 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 22 | - |
| M. Crompton | 34 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Wilson | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| M. Wong | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Newland | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Bullman | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Van Zeeland | 5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. McGinnis-Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Bowers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Boles | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter