Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | - |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | - |
Forfeit: Oregon Ducks +2 so far (2-0); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.