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2021-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 67.3% 32.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% - โœ“
Margin 64.5% 35.5% -3.3 โœ“ (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.8% 22.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders -22 (37-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Johnson 37 3-7 0-3 0-0 1 4 4 0 3 6 5 -
Abby Antognoli 30 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Wilson 30 6-7 0-0 1-1 8 2 1 1 1 13 17 -
N. Ganpo 26 5-11 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 10 7 -
Makayla Andrews 25 5-11 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 0 2 11 7 -
J. Booth 24 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 5 0 0 3 7 5 -
Claire Gallagher 18 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Kylie Favours 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Drummond 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Matthews 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taylor Golembiewski 34 2-8 1-1 3-4 1 2 0 1 0 8 4 -
Tiasia McMillan 32 3-9 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 1 5 8 1 -
Morgan McMahon 31 1-7 0-2 0-0 9 2 1 0 1 2 6 -
Sophia Diehl 29 5-8 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 11 6 -
A. Brodie 27 2-8 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 0 -
J. Paul 19 1-7 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 3 -1 -
M. Frank 13 0-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 1 2 0 0 -
A. Naessens 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
K. Ghavidel 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter