Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +9 (62-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brodie | 38 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Taylor Golembiewski | 34 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Paul | 34 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| M. Frank | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Sophia Diehl | 24 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Tiasia McMillan | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Naessens | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Morgan McMahon | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Loiter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Rerko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Thybulle | 36 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| E. Krista Grava | 36 | 6-18 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| K. Nwabudu | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| A. Cowan | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Heyward | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Loceniece | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Sanchez-Henry | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Jackson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Pitt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Rakisha Ballinger | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter