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2021-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Merrimack Warriors Harvard Crimson Spread Result
ELO 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +24 (99-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Merrimack Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Mager 35 6-10 4-8 - 4 2 3 16 9
M. Kimball 34 9-17 6-9 -2 3 5 1 7 24 9
J. DeCesare 30 2-2 2-2 1-2 3 9 4 7 13
P. McCormick 27 -4 - - 7 1 1 3
T. Brown 22 2-5 - 1-2 3 4 5 -1
C. Balague 19 4-8 -1 1-1 2 1 4 9 0
D. Christian 14 3-6 3-6 - 1 4 2 1 9 9
K. Thomas 12 1-1 1-1 - 3 1 2 3 4
A. Staton 5 1-2 - - 3 1 1 2 5
A. Owens 2 - - - 0

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
L. Mullaney 31 6-11 3-6 - 1 2 2 15 9
M. McCarthy 28 6-6 2-2 - 5 6 2 3 14 18
T. Sussman 26 6-11 3-4 - 3 5 2 1 15 13
H. Turner 25 4-9 2-2 - 5 2 4 10 4
M. Forbes 25 9-16 4-7 1-1 1 2 2 1 23 13
A. Stritzel 16 1-3 -2 -1 1 3 1 1 2 3
M. Stuhlreyer 10 1-3 - - 3 2 1 4 2 2 7
L. Lawson 10 2-3 1-1 - 1 1 5 4
E. Stauffer 6 1-2 - 1-2 2 1 2 3 6
E. Rodriguez 6 1-2 -1 - 1 2 2 3
K. Heath 6 2-2 2-2 - 6 4
G. Donaldson 5 1-4 -1 - 1 1 1 1 2 0
S. Coffel 3 - - - 1 1
S. Park 3 - - - 0

* = starter