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2021-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Merrimack Warriors Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +24 (99-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Merrimack Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mager 35 6-10 4-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 16 9 -
M. Kimball 34 9-17 6-9 0-2 3 5 1 0 7 24 9 -
J. DeCesare 30 2-2 2-2 1-2 3 9 0 0 4 7 13 -
P. McCormick 27 0-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
T. Brown 22 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 5 -1 -
C. Balague 19 4-8 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 1 4 9 0 -
D. Christian 14 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 9 9 -
K. Thomas 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 3 4 -
A. Staton 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
A. Owens 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Mullaney 31 6-11 3-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 15 9 -
M. McCarthy 28 6-6 2-2 0-0 5 6 2 0 3 14 18 -
T. Sussman 26 6-11 3-4 0-0 3 5 2 0 1 15 13 -
H. Turner 25 4-9 2-2 0-0 5 0 2 0 4 10 4 -
M. Forbes 25 9-16 4-7 1-1 1 2 2 1 0 23 13 -
A. Stritzel 16 1-3 0-2 0-1 1 3 1 0 1 2 3 -
M. Stuhlreyer 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 4 2 2 7 -
L. Lawson 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 5 4 -
E. Stauffer 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 3 6 -
E. Rodriguez 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Heath 6 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
G. Donaldson 5 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
S. Coffel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Park 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter