Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.8% | 26.2% | -5.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -24 (58-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Siegrist | 36 | 15-22 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 20 | - |
| B. Mullin | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Lucy Olsen | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Lior Garzon | 28 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Runyan | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Bria. Herlihy | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Cauley | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Zanai Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Gardler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christina Dalce | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kaitlyn Orihel | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bailey | 35 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| C. Clegg | 31 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| L. Correa | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Peeples | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Patterson | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Cosgrove | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| U. Drake | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Katie Burton | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| E. Nolan | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Sara Zabrecky | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Nolan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sitota Gines | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter