Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.4% | 2.6% | -20.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -14 (56-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dis Agustsdottir | 32 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Clephane | 32 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Sydney Freeman | 28 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ally Becki | 28 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| C. Latimer | 25 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Ivet Subirats | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Marie Kiefer | 11 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Puiggros | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Madelyn Bischoff | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Rauch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Turner | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Grant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Wingler | 36 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Trinity White | 34 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| E. Sexton | 28 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Zoe Jackson | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Alex Richard | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Dowell | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Sydney Jaynes | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Stoddard | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Ross | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter