Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Boston University Terriers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston University Terriers +10 (67-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naomi Ganpo * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Jessica Booth * | 35 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -9.9 |
| Makaila Wilson * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Makayla Andrews * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Nicole Johnson * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +12.5 |
| Abby Antognoli | 27 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -18.3 |
| Claire Gallagher | 17 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | -7.3 |
| Ashley Evans | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -15.4 |
| Kylie Favours | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston University Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Johnson * | 38 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +9.2 |
| Maren Durant * | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | +9.3 |
| Emily Esposito * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +7.8 |
| Caitlin Weimar * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -8.6 |
| Maggie Pina * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -20.0 |
| Chiara Tibbitt | 28 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Alex Giannaros | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +17.2 |
| Sophie Beneventine | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.7 |
| Liz Shean | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
* = starter