Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars +7 (79-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tennessee State Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saniah Parker * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -9.8 |
| Alexis Pierce * | 28 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5 | -7.7 |
| Gia Adams * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +6.0 |
| Dominique Claytor * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 15 | +4.7 |
| Sierra McCullough * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +7.8 |
| Tatyana Davis | 31 | 13-20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | -16.9 |
| Lacy Robins | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Elise Harden | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -12.0 |
| Kianni Westbrook | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -4.1 |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Troeckler * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | +12.3 |
| Gabby Nikitinaite * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | +12.1 |
| Mikayla Kinnard * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Prima Chellis * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Jaida Hampton * | 15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -12.6 |
| Mikia Keith | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | +8.3 |
| Ajulu Thatha | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Kelsie Williams | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.7 |
| Sofie Lowis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Mikala Hall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Masyn McWilliams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
* = starter