Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +14 (66-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paul | 38 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tiasia McMillan | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| A. Brodie | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Morgan McMahon | 29 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Sophia Diehl | 22 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| G. Rerko | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Naessens | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Ghavidel | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Frank | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Walsh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brown | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Edwards | 32 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| K. Henning | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. DeRubbo | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ivy Bales | 24 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Stack | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Emily Johns | 15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Bailey Garbee | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Fisher | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Meunier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter