Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +7 (60-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terri Smith * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Jada Claude * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Morgan Browning * | 32 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Julan McDonald * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 19 | +3.9 |
| Alana Denson * | 24 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -6 | -17.3 |
| Jazmyn Gaines-Burns | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Tyler Moore | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Janay Rose | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Kaitlyn Keathley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deanay Watson * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Taelour Pruitt * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Kennedi Watkins * | 25 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +7.0 |
| Ro Scott * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -7.3 |
| Halle Smith * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Jaliyah Green | 31 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Kori Tomlin | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Johne' Stewart | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6.5 |
* = starter