Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | -2.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +2 (69-67). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McKay * | 42 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Alexis Burpo * | 42 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Macey Turley * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Katelyn Young * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Lex Mayes * | 34 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Bria Sanders-Woods | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jaidah Black | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cayson Conner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karle Pace * | 40 | 9-18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Ella Sawyer * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Kirby * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nina De leon negron * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Lyric Cole * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D'Shara Booker | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Yamia Johnson | 29 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kasey Kidwell | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Liz Gibbs | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter