Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Florida International Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida International Panthers +28 (81-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaPraisjah Johnson * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -15.7 |
| Elyssa Coleman * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -4.9 |
| Chantel Govan * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -21.3 |
| Queen Ulabo * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Jadyn Pimentel * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Ceyenne Mass | 25 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Hailey Atwood | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Elena Blanding | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -15.4 |
| Yuliyana Valcheva | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -15.1 |
| Deborah Nwakamma | 14 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Leslie Hunter | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Kennedy Harrell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
Florida International Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyla Nelson * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +20.3 |
| Tanajah Hayes * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +10.4 |
| Ariel Colon * | 24 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -1.5 |
| Zaida Gonzalez * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +15.3 |
| Maria Torres * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | +7.0 |
| Emerald Ekpiteta | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +6.0 |
| Raquel Ferrer-Bernad | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Grace Hunter | 14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Olivia Trice | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Alma Danielsson | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Hope Butera | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +14.2 |
* = starter