Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✗ (30.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Taylor | 36 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| J. Bowie | 31 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Hood | 25 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Sierra Dickson | 24 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Reed | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| G. Standifer | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Thompson | 17 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P. Bennett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Johnson | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Mass | 27 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Q. Ulabo | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| E. Coleman | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Pimentel | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Hunter | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Ciss | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| H. Atwood | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Blanding | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Baek | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ce. Mass | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Y. Valcheva | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter