Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | UAB Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UAB Blazers +16 (86-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Kentucky Lady Toppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macey Blevins * | 38 | 4-16 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | -15.6 |
| Meral Abdelgawad * | 37 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 6-13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 13 | -17.0 |
| Alexis Mead * | 33 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | -8.9 |
| Mya Meredith * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -4.4 |
| Jaylin Foster * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -12.4 |
| Teresa Faustino | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Selma Kulo | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Hope Sivori | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12.2 |
| Jenna Walker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8.8 |
| Gabby McBride | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Tori Hunter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.6 |
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Klaczek * | 36 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +16.1 |
| Margaret Whitley * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | +10.3 |
| Kylee Schneringer * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +20.2 |
| Zakyia Weathersby * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | +17.2 |
| Maria Roters * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Sara Rosenfeldt | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +8.7 |
| Destinee McGhee | 15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Caitlynn Daniels | 14 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Claudia Armato | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +7.8 |
| Maddie Walsh | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.5 |
* = starter