Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +6 (72-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brikayla Gray * | 40 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -6.8 |
| Domonique Davis * | 35 | 9-25 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | -2 | -5.4 |
| Destiny Smith * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Melyia Grayson * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Rose Warren * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Daishai Almond | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | +16.9 |
| Kelsey Jones | 15 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +10.5 |
| Lauren Gross | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.3 |
| Fess Hawkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Morgan Dillard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.6 |
| Asjha Leake | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazion Jackson * | 40 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Quincy Noble * | 40 | 12-24 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 22 | +1.2 |
| Madison Townley * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | -10.7 |
| Amber Dixon * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +9.1 |
| Jaylen Mallard * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Chloe Callahan | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +12.8 |
| Tommisha Lampkin | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Kendall McGruder | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.4 |
| Emma Villas-Gomis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.8 |
* = starter