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2021-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars North Texas Mean Green Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 10.7% 89.3% +11.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 10.0% 90.0% -

Actual: North Texas Mean Green +16 (65-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Watson 29 5-11 0-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 11 -1 -
R. White 25 6-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 12 12 -
N. Kincey 23 0-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hunter 22 1-6 0-2 3-4 5 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
A. Fontenot 21 3-9 1-3 1-2 4 1 4 0 2 8 6 -
T. Metcalf 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 2 -1 -
T. Moore 20 0-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Johnson 12 1-9 0-0 4-6 4 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
J. Aikens 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
T. Lidge 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Z. Harleaux 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
X. Harrison 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Reed 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Townley 36 2-6 0-1 4-4 4 3 0 0 3 8 6 -
Q. Noble 34 6-14 1-7 4-5 1 1 1 1 1 17 6 -
A. Gamez 29 3-7 3-5 1-2 6 3 1 0 4 10 9 -
J. Jackson 25 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 3 1 -
J. Mallard 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 3 2 8 -
A. Dixon 18 4-5 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 9 4 -
T. Lampkin 16 4-4 0-0 4-7 11 0 0 1 1 12 19 -
K. McGruder 11 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
T. Mims 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
E. Villas-Gomis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Cleary 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter