Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +39 (80-41). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah Wheeler * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | -17.4 |
| Aaliyah Dunham * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | -19.1 |
| Kennedi Colclough * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -11.3 |
| CC Mays * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -9.1 |
| Lorelei Roper * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -22.6 |
| Kia Sivils | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -30.9 |
| Aarionna Redman | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Alexis Johnson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -15.2 |
| Christiana McLean | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.2 |
| Samantha LaFon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Sarah Liberatore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.6 |
| Ksenija Mitric | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Whitson * | 37 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +24.8 |
| Alexis Whittington * | 34 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +23.0 |
| Dor Saar * | 34 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +29.5 |
| Anastasiia Boldyreva * | 22 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +22.2 |
| Jalynn Gregory * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +9.3 |
| Courtney Blakely | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +20.1 |
| Kseniya Malashka | 18 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +10.7 |
| Amanda Whittington | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.9 |
| Gracie Dodgen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Jada Grannum | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +5.4 |
* = starter