Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rice Owls +8 (72-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silvia Nativi * | 37 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -14.5 |
| A. Roberson * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | -7.8 |
| Keiunna Walker * | 29 | 6-19 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | -2 | +1.4 |
| Salma Bates * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | -14.0 |
| Kate Thompson * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -4.6 |
| Amaya Brannon | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Robyn Lee | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +6.8 |
| Lotte Sant | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Jadona Davis | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Autumn Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destiny Jackson * | 39 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 19 | +18.9 |
| Maya Bokunewicz * | 38 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Haylee Swayze * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | +8.4 |
| Malia Fisher * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | +9.7 |
| Ashlee Austin * | 28 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 21 | +6.8 |
| India Bellamy | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Trinity Gooden | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
* = starter