Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -12 (46-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wilkinson | 40 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Smith | 36 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Sanderlin | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. White | 26 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| R. Bradley | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Wiggins | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Mathis | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Warthen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 39 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Thompson | 37 | 6-20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -3 | - |
| Alexsia Rose | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Morgan Moseley | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Bennett | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Iycez Adams | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| X. Josephs | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Johnson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Franklin | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Chambers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter