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Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Golden Hurricane Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - โœ—
Margin 57.3% 42.7% - โœ—
Pythagorean 66.7% 33.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.2% 20.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 77.4% 22.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 64.5% 35.5% - โœ—

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +6 (66-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maddie Bittle * 37 4-9 1-5 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 11 10 -11.2
Temira Poindexter * 35 3-10 1-5 0-2 7 5 0 6 3 7 12 -3.9
Rebecca Lescay * 33 5-12 0-0 2-3 8 2 1 0 6 12 5 -12.6
Maya Mayberry * 31 3-11 2-7 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 10 4 -18.5
Wyvette Mayberry * 26 6-11 4-5 0-0 2 1 4 0 3 16 9 -8.8
Delanie Crawford 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 2 3 -5.8
Jessika Evans 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -11.1
Madi Washington 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +5.1

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jillian Hayes * 35 6-16 0-1 2-3 11 5 2 2 2 14 16 +22.3
Caitlyn Wilson * 35 4-10 3-6 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 13 5 +15.4
Braylyn Milton * 27 4-8 3-5 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 11 8 +15.1
Jada Scott * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 +3.5
Clarissa Craig * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -7.8
Arame Niang 27 9-13 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 18 15 +25.7
Sofia Gritzali 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 4 +3.0
Emerita Mashaire 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 +9.3
Malea Williams 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 +4.9
Jadyn Scott 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -11.7
Lojain Elfatairy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -5.5

* = starter