Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -6 (56-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Fankam Mendjiadeu * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Elena Tsineke * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Elisa Pinzan * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | +6.9 |
| Bethy Mununga * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 | +7.2 |
| Sydni Harvey * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -4.7 |
| Cristina Bermejo | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Shae Leverett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Sara Guerreiro | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.5 |
| Mihaela Lazic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Aerial Wilson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Smith * | 37 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -4.4 |
| Savannah Wilkinson * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | +10.2 |
| Reagan Bradley * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Danielle Sanderlin * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Kayla White * | 18 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Sydne Wiggins | 31 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Keyanna Warthen | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Desirae Mathis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter