Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 39 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Darin Green * | 34 | 2-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Darius Perry * | 27 | 2-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| C. Diong * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Mahan * | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Dre Fuller | 23 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Adams | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Edwards | 38 | 2-15 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Taze Moore | 32 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| F. White Jr. | 29 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Josh Carlton | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 36 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Walker Jr. | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter