Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +28 (88-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Darius Perry * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Darin Green * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Diong * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| C.J. Walker * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dre Fuller | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Mahan | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamille Reynolds | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Adams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tadarius Jacobs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Levy Renaud | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Anders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lomax * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Deandre Williams * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Conor Glennon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter