Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.1% | 10.9% | -11.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -14 (49-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Edwards | 39 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Taze Moore | 36 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Josh Carlton | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| F. White Jr. | 26 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Walker Jr. | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Perry * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Mahan * | 29 | 1-12 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darin Green * | 29 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| C. Diong * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Adams * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Darius Johnson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamille Reynolds | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter