Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Walker * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| C. Diong * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Darius Johnson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Adams | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamille Reynolds | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dre Fuller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Bandoumel * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Zach Nutall * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Isiah Jasey * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Smith * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Weathers | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| M. Weathers | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Tristan Clark | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Zhuric Phelps | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Franklin Agunanne | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter