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2022-03-05

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Waters 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 4 2 -
I. Mobley * 37 7-12 1-3 5-8 8 2 0 0 2 20 16 -
D. Peterson * 36 4-9 3-6 2-2 9 6 0 0 3 13 16 -
B. Ellis * 32 5-14 2-6 1-1 2 3 0 0 0 13 4 -
M. Agbonkpolo * 31 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 5 4 -
C. Goodwin * 24 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
R. Dixon-Waters 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 4 6 -
E. Anderson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Morgan 6 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
K. Johnson 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 2 1 2 11 -
T. Campbell * 38 3-8 1-3 2-2 2 4 2 1 0 9 10 -
J. Bernard * 35 6-11 2-4 5-6 3 2 1 0 0 19 14 -
J. Jaquez Jr. * 34 10-16 0-2 7-8 6 4 0 0 0 27 21 -
C. Riley * 20 2-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. Singleton * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Juzang 32 4-13 0-1 0-2 4 2 0 0 0 8 1 -
J. Clark 11 1-2 0-1 2-6 2 1 2 0 0 4 7 -

* = starter