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2021-11-26

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -15 (43-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4432815 * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 2 0 18 34 -
Player #4397689 * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 1 3 16 25 -
B. Ellis * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
T. Pulliam * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 11 13 -
E. Anderson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 8 18 -
C. Goodwin * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 10 16 -
J. Morgan 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 0 2 12 -
K. Dinwiddie Jr. 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Agbonkpolo 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
Player #4898374 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Player #4897532 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Butler * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 9 14 -
Player #4397371 * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 3 0 8 19 -
M. Bradley * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 3 8 -
Player #4431786 * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
A. Arop 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 9 17 -

* = starter