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2021-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Saunders 28 3-7 1-2 2-2 1 5 0 0 4 9 4 -
Viktor Lakhin 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 5 4 2 -
Abdul Ado 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 0 4 7 -
Mason Madsen 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jarrett Hensley 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
David Dejulius * 31 8-16 2-8 6-6 0 1 1 0 3 24 7 -
John Newman * 30 2-7 2-4 1-3 5 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Jeremiah Davenport * 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
Mika Adams-Woods * 17 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
Ody Oguama 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 0 4 10 -
Hayden Koval 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 4 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stanley Umude 8 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
JD Notae * 39 4-17 2-7 3-4 4 1 2 1 2 13 2 -
Au'Diese Toney * 37 6-9 0-0 7-8 9 1 1 0 1 19 20 -
Jaylin Williams * 35 1-3 0-2 3-6 11 4 2 0 3 5 16 -
Davonte Davis * 25 3-12 0-2 2-2 5 3 0 0 3 8 1 -
Connor Vanover * 17 4-8 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
Chris Lykes 31 3-12 1-4 8-10 1 3 0 0 0 15 7 -
Kamani Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Trey Wade 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -

* = starter