Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +35.9 | ✓ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Taylor | 36 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 34 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Hood | 29 | 8-21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J. Bowie | 27 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Dickson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Reed | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. Thompson | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| G. Standifer | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Leff | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Smith | 34 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 11 | - |
| J. Lewis | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Asberry | 30 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Andrews | 30 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Q. Egbo | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Owens | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Bickle | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter