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2021-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 โœ— (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.2% 60.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -6 (55-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Wahl * 36 6-9 0-0 6-6 5 0 1 4 1 18 18 -
Brad Davison * 35 1-10 1-7 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 -2 -
Joh. Davis * 32 7-17 1-1 5-5 7 1 1 0 3 20 9 -
Chucky Hepburn * 31 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
Steven Crowl * 27 2-7 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
Carter Gilmore 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Lorne Bowman 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Ben Carlson 10 0-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Chris Vogt 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Ducas * 38 4-9 2-5 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 13 8 -
Logan Johnson * 35 6-12 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 12 4 -
Tommy Kuhse * 30 3-5 0-1 2-4 5 3 1 0 5 8 7 -
Matthias Tass * 26 3-10 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
Kyle Bowen * 25 1-5 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Dan Fotu 26 4-5 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 4 11 6 -
Augustas Marciulionis 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 -
Mitchell Saxen 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 0 2 -
Jabe Mullins 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter