Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins -2 (61-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Smith * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kobe Elvis | 17 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Sheppard * | 37 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Nick Muszynski * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Grayson Murphy * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Will Richard * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Luke Smith * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tate Pierson | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| JaCobi Wood | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Michael Shanks | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Even Brauns | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frank Jakubicek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter