Model Predictions
| Model | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.4% | 0.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers -8 (56-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Stanley * | 40 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Madeline Selvaggi * | 37 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Devyn Scott * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chloe Wilson * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Aniya Bell * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dahomee Forgues | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Rachael Niles | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Celia Carbonell | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Bresee * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Michaela Harrison * | 37 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Isabella Hunt * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jessica Tomasetti * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Agentowicz * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jada Lee | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jasmine Lindsay-Huskey | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tess Borgosz | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter