Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dapaa | 36 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| K. Maxwell | 33 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Moore | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Mastellone | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. McLemore | 29 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| L. Benzel | 26 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| M. McConnell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Laws | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mager | 38 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| J. DeCesare | 36 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| M. Kimball | 33 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| C. Balague | 24 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| P. McCormick | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Thomas | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Brown | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Owens | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Christian | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Okoh | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter