Model Predictions
| Model | Bryant Bulldogs | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +37 (92-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bryant Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Gallagher * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Fatou Jallow * | 34 | 4-17 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Mariona Planes Fortuny * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Lucie Castagne * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brooke Bjelko * | 23 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Megan Bodziony | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Shannon O'Connor | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Martinez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alana Perkins | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Juliette Golden | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Mager * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Mayson Kimball * | 31 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jayme DeCesare * | 26 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Teneisia Brown * | 20 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Paige McCormick * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Carla Balague | 29 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Diamond Christian | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Kaylee Thomas | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ava Owens | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Antoinette Okoh | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter