Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Long Island University Sharks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Island University Sharks +7 (74-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Berube * | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | -3.1 |
| Dejah Jenkins * | 36 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -8.5 |
| Claire Sutherland-Case * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | +3.3 |
| Eden Nibbelink * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -5.2 |
| Forever Toppin * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | +6.2 |
| Belle Lanpher | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -5.0 |
| Meghan Kenefick | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Nina Davy | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Carly Reynolds | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Amaya Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
Long Island University Sharks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandy Thomas * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +21.0 |
| Dani Grim * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Shyla Sanford * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -11.7 |
| Kennedy Taylor * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Mia Perkins * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Tayra Eke | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Dallas Carter | 21 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Zoee Hache | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10.0 |
| Kiara Bell | 16 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Camille Gray | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Aislinn Flynn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Dyamond Butler-Worley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter