Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars +19 (74-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubrey Stupp * | 39 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 13 | -0.7 |
| Shayla Sellers * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -7.1 |
| Amellia Bromenschenkel * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Sylare Starks * | 24 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | -15.3 |
| Jazzlyn Linbo * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -15.3 |
| Audra Emmerson | 28 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Valerie Clark | 20 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | +3.6 |
| Abbigail Stephens | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Shianne Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +4.8 |
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel McLimore * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | +12.8 |
| Rachel Kent * | 26 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +13.1 |
| Macee Williams * | 21 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | +17.4 |
| Madison Wise * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +8.4 |
| Natalie Andersen * | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +11.7 |
| Destiny Perkins | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +6.4 |
| Ali Berg | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Anna Mortag | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +5.3 |
| Morgan Allen | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -5.7 |
| Logan Lewis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -7.5 |
| Trinity Duckworth | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.2 |
| Jacquel Bronaugh | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Jaci Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.4 |
* = starter