Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Panthers | Northern Kentucky Norse | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Kentucky Norse +8 (61-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Walstad * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Emma Wittmershaus * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Sydney Staver * | 31 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Miquela Santoro * | 24 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -7.2 |
| McKaela Schmelzer * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Kendall Nead | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Jada Donaldson | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Macy McGlone | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Angie Cera | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.6 |
| AL. Moore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
| Lior Halevi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmy Souder * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Lindsey Duvall * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Ivy Turner * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Grayson Rose * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Khamari Mitchell-Steen * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Kailee Davis | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Carissa Garcia | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.6 |
| Trinity Thompson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Kennedy Igo | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +3.5 |
* = starter