Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers -9 (52-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Graham | 36 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Kiyley Flowers | 27 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tiarra Brown | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. Shorts | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Phillips | 24 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -1 | - |
| J. Powell-Smith | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tian. Brown | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. McChristine | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Naudia Evans | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Olaeta | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Harper | 31 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| T. Neale | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Klaman | 23 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Palma | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Thomas | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Wu | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Trinity San Antonio | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | - |
| G. Dale | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Wu | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter