Model Predictions
| Model | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +19 (88-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Bershers * | 30 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -6.0 |
| KaCee Kyle * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6.0 |
| Taylor Muff * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -16.5 |
| Jena' Williams * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -6.9 |
| Maria Llorente * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Tiffany McGarity | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -19.3 |
| Brooke Jessen | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Iva Belosevic | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -16.3 |
| Jessica Martino | 12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -6.1 |
| A'nnika Saenz | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.4 |
| Halie Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Mariya Taser | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.1 |
| Arianna Sturdivant | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Burcu Soysal | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madi Miller * | 31 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | +17.1 |
| Jamie Bonnarens * | 31 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +23.1 |
| Kamryn Mraz * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +7.9 |
| Tatum Barber * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Sarah Griswold * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Emma Middleton | 20 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +15.5 |
| Bella Earle | 19 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +23.2 |
| Taylor Morgan | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Katie Horyna | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -8.9 |
| Nykale Cramer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Paige Emborsky | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -10.6 |
| Alexis Babineaux | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Alice Stevenson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.5 |
| Niyah Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.8 |
* = starter