Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kendrick | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| I. Dorsey | 28 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| L. Benson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Thiam | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| J. Dick | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. President | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Jones | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Axelsson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Mitchels | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Escamilla | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Jackson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Cunningham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Olaeta | 33 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 22 | - |
| S. Palma | 30 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Harper | 29 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| B. Klaman | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Neale | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Dale | 20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. San Antonio | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Avila-Ambrosi | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Wu | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
* = starter