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2022-02-12

Model Predictions

Model St. Thomas Tommies North Dakota State Bison Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.8 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“

Actual: North Dakota State Bison +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Thomas Tommies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jade Hill 40 6-15 2-5 5-6 3 1 4 0 1 19 11 -
E. Norling 35 2-12 1-8 1-1 0 3 0 0 1 6 -4 -
K. Porter 31 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 9 7 -
M. Negaard 25 2-9 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 -3 -
Jo Langbehn 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 8 12 -
Sammy Opichka 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
K. Burns 13 4-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
K. Stanley 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
Gabby Johnson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
Jordyn Lamker 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Hamling 35 3-10 0-5 6-6 7 5 0 0 1 12 13 -
R. Cobbins 33 5-8 3-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 15 10 -
O. Skibiel 28 0-5 0-2 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
R. Hopkins 27 5-10 3-4 5-5 5 1 2 0 1 18 15 -
E. Dietz 25 4-6 0-0 4-8 4 1 1 0 3 12 9 -
Abby Schulte 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
K. Hildebrand 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Olson 7 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
E. Behnke 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter