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2022-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Western Illinois Leathernecks St. Thomas Tommies Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 73.8% 26.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“

Actual: St. Thomas Tommies -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Lutz 39 6-9 1-3 0-0 9 3 4 0 4 13 16 -
D. Nichols 38 9-17 3-6 3-9 6 3 4 1 0 24 21 -
J. Thorpe 33 4-9 3-5 3-6 1 3 1 0 2 14 8 -
E. Zars 32 4-7 0-1 0-0 7 3 0 2 2 8 11 -
A. Deets 22 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
S. Pryor 12 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Mallory Mcdermott 11 2-3 2-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 2 10 7 -
A. Dins 8 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Kennedy Flanagan 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

St. Thomas Tommies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jade Hill 36 7-18 2-6 4-6 2 2 3 0 3 20 6 -
E. Norling 32 7-10 4-7 3-3 2 0 0 0 4 21 9 -
K. Porter 24 2-7 0-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Negaard 23 1-5 0-2 3-3 5 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
K. Burns 19 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Glynn 17 1-2 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 4 2 -1 -
Jo Langbehn 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 1 1 5 -
Jordyn Lamker 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Phoebe Frentzel 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Sammy Opichka 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
K. Stanley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gabby Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Schwanz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Mackenthun 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter