🐻⬇️🏀

North Dakota Fighting Hawks 66
@
St. Thomas Tommies 55
2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota Fighting Hawks St. Thomas Tommies Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 68.5% 31.5% - ✓
Margin 78.3% 21.7% -7.1 ✓ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 76.4% 23.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 86.8% 13.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.4% 36.6% - ✓

Actual: St. Thomas Tommies -11 (55-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Borowicz 38 8-17 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 5 19 3 -
M. Leet 36 10-11 2-3 0-0 8 1 0 3 0 22 23 -
O. Lane 35 8-13 0-0 1-1 13 2 2 1 1 17 21 -
C. Orth 35 1-10 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 2 1 2 -1 -
M. Manson 27 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 6 4 -
J. Daninger 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 7 5 0 2 2 0 9 -
D. Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Hoskin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

St. Thomas Tommies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jade Hill 39 7-17 1-5 4-5 2 5 0 0 1 19 8 -
E. Norling 31 2-9 1-3 0-0 6 0 2 2 2 5 4 -
K. Porter 25 2-9 2-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 0 -
Sammy Opichka 23 4-8 0-2 1-2 6 1 0 2 1 9 9 -
M. Negaard 23 1-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 -2 -
J. Glynn 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 0 7 -
K. Burns 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Jo Langbehn 11 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
K. Stanley 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Phoebe Frentzel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter