Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | St. Thomas Tommies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.2% | 6.8% | -14.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Thomas Tommies -15 (55-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redmond | 34 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Crompton | 33 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Wilson | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Maya Wong | 21 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Stinson | 21 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Newland | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Bullman | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Bowers | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jasmine McGinnis-Taylor | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Boles | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Koudelka | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lauren Cohen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Van Zeeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
St. Thomas Tommies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Norling | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Jade Hill | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| K. Porter | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Burns | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Negaard | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jo Langbehn | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Pollard | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Glynn | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Phoebe Frentzel | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Tomes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordyn Lamker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabby Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter