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Model Predictions

Model Nicholls Colonels Houston Christian Huskies Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Margin 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Pythagorean 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Christian Huskies +9 (67-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Nicholls Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amelia Sandie * 40 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 5 4 2 -4.4
Bryanna Washington * 37 7-12 0-0 3-3 7 2 0 1 1 17 14 +2.4
Deonna Brister * 32 0-5 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 0 3 -10.8
Jazmyn Womack * 29 7-13 1-4 4-5 5 1 1 1 3 19 11 -5.2
Lauryn Bowie * 17 3-6 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 2 7 6 +5.0
Chyna Allen 23 1-10 0-2 1-2 3 1 2 1 3 3 -3 -0.6
Kate Manley 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 2 -3 -4.1
Chelsea Cain 4 1-4 0-2 4-4 3 1 1 0 0 6 7 +4.7

Houston Christian Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Timia Jefferson * 40 9-22 1-4 5-5 5 4 2 0 1 24 12 -2.4
Abbey Sutherland * 39 4-9 1-2 2-2 6 3 0 1 2 11 10 +2.5
Julija Vujakovic * 36 3-12 2-9 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 8 2 +4.2
Kennedy Wilson * 32 4-6 1-1 9-9 4 1 5 0 4 18 18 -5.6
N'Denasija Collins * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.2
Naomi Pierce 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 0 2 +3.1
Marilyn Nzoiwu 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 5 -12.6
Enya Maguire 8 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 -1 +1.5
Lauryn Mapusua 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -1.8

* = starter