Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | McNeese Cowgirls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: McNeese Cowgirls +8 (73-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryanna Washington * | 40 | 2-15 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -9.5 |
| Chyna Allen * | 37 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 14 | -13.9 |
| Deonna Brister * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -8.8 |
| Chelsea Cain * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +7.5 |
| Amelia Sandie * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -12.5 |
| Kyrstin Green | 26 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Lauryn Bowie | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Kate Manley | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Jazmyn Womack | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
McNeese Cowgirls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaili Chamberlin * | 34 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +11.5 |
| C. Gil * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +6.5 |
| Desirae Hansen * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Zuzanna Kulinska * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +1.7 |
| Divine Tanks * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Clara Rosini | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Kyla Hamilton | 13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Lana Skripkina | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +8.4 |
| Mireia Yespes | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Le'Shenae Stubblefield | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Taylor Wilkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter