Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Wofford Terriers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wofford Terriers +23 (76-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Cornelius * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | -24.8 |
| Amaria Pugh * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | -11.3 |
| Brooke Hampel * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | -16.1 |
| Dena Jarrells * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -19.6 |
| Sigrun Olafsdottir * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -15.1 |
| Addie Porter | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | -10.9 |
| Destiny McClendon | 15 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Leah Jones | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -14.8 |
| Karsen Murphy | 8 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +7.1 |
| Pare Pene | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Lara Habling | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
Wofford Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reagan Rapert * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +18.0 |
| Lilly Hatton * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Jackie Carman * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +17.2 |
| Alexis Tomlin * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +21.2 |
| Niyah Lutz * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Helen Matthews | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +15.6 |
| Annabelle Schultz | 20 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +18.1 |
| Sydnee Richetto | 18 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +8.8 |
| Alea Harris | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Abbey Crawford | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Ja'Rae Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
* = starter