Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.1% | 11.9% | -11.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -14 (47-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lewis | 34 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Sanders | 33 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Smith | 31 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| D. Battles | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Thomas | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Kaba | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Burney | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Meertens | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Luma | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Jewett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Houpt | 34 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| S. Titus | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Neal-Tysor | 28 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Dougherty | 28 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Thayne | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Banks | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Harkless | 17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| S. Votaw | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. McNamara-Clement | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Boykin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter